UFC Fight night: Shevchenko vs. Pena
Its fight night tomorrow night in Denver Colorado, and the UFC is putting on a solid card for FOX. The winner of the main event will most likely receive a title shot at the 135 pound Women’s Title, with the Co-Main event having possible title implications as well. Here we will preview and predict the main card for the event. As Mike Goldberg would say HERE WE GO!
Nate Marquardt VS Sam Alvey
Marquardt (38-16-2) is coming off a impressive win over Tandam Mcrory in October but is just 3-5 since returning to the UFC 4 years and going 1-1 last year. Alvey (29-8) is coming off of a busy year in 2016 fighting 4 times with a record of 3-1 winning the last 3 in a row. Both men will come in to make a statement with this fight being the opening fight of the main card here and both being solid stand up fighters. Marquardt will have the edge on the ground if he can get it there with Alvey having stellar take down defense 88.9%. Both men land about 49% of their strikes but with Alvey taking absorbs about 5 strikes a min with Marquardt absorbing about 2.25, meaning the Nate the Great would have the better stand up Defense, and Alvey has never attempted a take down in his UFC career. Nate should have the advantage in this fight but with his age and well tested chin a clean shot could end it. With is being in Marquardt’s home town though ill take Nate in this fight rd 2.
Alex Caceras vs Jason Knight
Caceras (12-9) having a rough go in his last outing against rising stud Yair Rodriguez, and going 2-1 last year. Knight (18-2) went 2-0 last year both decision wins. Caceras coming into this fight with the advantage all around landing about 50% of his strikes and 82% of his takedowns as well as having fought tougher competition, where as night lands 36% of strikes and has a 45% takedown defense. Although most of Knights wins are by way of sub having a strong Jiu-jitsu back ground. This fight will be all Bruce Leroy, decision.
Andrei Arlovski VS Francis Ngannou
Arlovski (25-13) came back roaring onto the scene in the UFC when he returned in 2014 starting out 4-0 putting on fight of the night performance every time he stepping into the octagon. However he has hit a snag in the comeback campaign losing his last 3. Ngannou having just 4 fights in the UFC going 4-0, Three by KO and the other by submission. Both men being very heavy handed land about 45% of strikes. Arlovski has better striking Defense which he will need in this fight. Ngannou has never attempted a take down in his UFC career with a 73% takedown defense, where as Arlovski’s take down accuracy is at 45%. I would love nothing more than to see the Pitbulls arm raised here and there are Heavyweights so one shot from either could end the night for the other man early, but i see this going Ngannou’s way. fight ends with a KO
Donald Cerrone VS Jorge Masvidal
Cowboy (32-7) is coming off of a amazing year after moving up to the 170 pound division going 4-0 with all finishes. Masvidal (31-11) went 2-1 in 2016 with his last fight an impressive finish of the always tough Jake Ellenberger. Both men like to stand up and bang so this will be a barnburner for sure, seeing gamebreed lands about 47% of strikes where as cowboy lands about 48%. Masvidal has a take down success rate of 61% and Cerrones is at 43%. They both have a take down defense in the high 70’s percentile. This will undoubtably be the FIGHT OF THE NIGHT. Cerrone is the best thing the UFC has going right now and he will win this fight. Decision
Valentina Shevchenko VS Julianna Pena
Shevchenko (13-2) coming into this fight going 2-1 in her past 3 only losing to Champ Amanda Nunes. Valentina looked impressive beating former champion Holly Holm in her last bout. Julianna Pena (9-2) fought just one time last year but beat top contender Cat Zingano by decision. Shevchenko and Pena both land at 49% of their strikes with Valentina absorbing almost double what Pena has in past fights. Pena also has a solid take down percentage of 67%, and Valentina stops 70% of takedown attempts. Pena has a huge advantage on the ground and will look for the takedown early and often against the Muay Thai fighter. Both fighters looking to grind out a win to get the next shot at the title. Pena takes this one grinding out a decision with her wrestling.